Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers v Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers (Local)

Prediction 75.04%1.33fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -11.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.11%75.10%75.08%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.251.241.2982.64%80.19%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 24.96%4.01fair odd
EV +2.35%
Edge +0.572%
Kelly +0.757%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%24.90%24.92%26.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.483.733.754.1028.74%26.83%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LSU Tigers (Local): 75.04%; Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit): 24.96%. For Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.70%E -6.26%K -33.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +2.35%E +0.572%K +0.757%G +0.018%5.7%2026-03-24 16:14
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.65%E -0.679%K -0.913%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -9.20%E -7.61%K -43.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 19:14
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -9.20%E -7.61%K -43.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 19:15
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -9.20%E -7.61%K -43.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 19:15
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.30%EV -6.95%E -5.61%K -28.97%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.70%EV -5.64%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 20:04
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.70%E -3.70%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 02:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.95%E -5.61%K -28.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 17:34
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-24 16:15
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.20%E -2.48%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 07:58
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 17:59
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.45%E -4.33%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.89%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 09:34
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.95%E -3.09%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 02:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.95%E -3.09%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 17:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.95%E -3.09%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 17:15
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.70%E -6.26%K -33.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-24 19:15
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.11%EV -3.95%E -3.09%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -13.13%E -3.77%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%5.3%2026-03-24 22:44