The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

LSU Tigers v Kentucky Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers (Local)

Prediction 64.39%1.55fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -6.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.84%64.41%64.53%65.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.451.441.5070.92%68.80%69.20%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 35.61%2.81fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.31%35.59%35.47%37.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.622.7040.00%38.09%38.17%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LSU Tigers (Local): 64.39%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 35.61%. For LSU Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.50, with an expected value of -3.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.41%E -2.28%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:27
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -4.06%E -2.72%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -8.48%E -3.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -4.06%E -2.72%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -8.48%E -3.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 23:30
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -4.06%E -2.72%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -10.27%E -4.07%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 23:29
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 23:29
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 23:29
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -4.70%E -3.18%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -9.55%E -3.76%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 23:29
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.35%E -3.64%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:29
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.63%E -4.57%K -14.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 23:30
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -6.63%E -4.57%K -14.74%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -4.57%E -1.70%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.28%E -5.05%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.96%EV -7.28%E -5.05%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.04%EV -4.92%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 23:30
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.28%E -5.05%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.70%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 23:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.28%E -5.05%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.70%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 23:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.28%E -5.05%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.70%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 23:29
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.92%E -5.54%K -18.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 23:30
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -7.92%E -5.54%K -18.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-27 23:30
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -9.21%E -6.53%K -22.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 23:29
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -9.21%E -6.53%K -22.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 23:29
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -9.21%E -6.53%K -22.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 23:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-27 23:30