Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.43
assuming max odds 1.66
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LSU Tigers (Local): 40.49%; Florida Gators (Visit): 59.51%. For Florida Gators (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.66, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -1.61%E -0.661%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -1.61%E -0.661%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -1.61%E -0.661%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.38%E -3.38%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.38%E -3.38%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 23:27 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -6.47%E -2.80%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.38%E -3.38%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -8.49%E -3.76%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -1.22%E -0.732%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -9.30%E -4.15%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 35.01% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 64.99% | 23.1% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |