Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers v Florida Gators

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers (Local)

Prediction 40.75%2.45fair odd
EV +3.50%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +2.28%
Growth +0.080%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.13%40.59%40.41%42.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.292.262.5446.08%43.68%44.25%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Gators (Visit)

Prediction 59.25%1.69fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.990%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.25%59.41%59.59%62.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.611.6666.67%62.75%62.11%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LSU Tigers (Local): 40.75%; Florida Gators (Visit): 59.25%. For LSU Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV +3.50%E +1.38%K +2.28%G +0.080%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -11.12%E -7.42%K -22.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 23:14
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.87%E +0.750%K +1.25%G +0.023%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.12%E -7.42%K -22.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 23:14
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.20%E -0.917%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 23:25
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.20%E -0.917%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.75%E -5.68%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 18:50
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.24%E -1.80%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 23:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.24%E -1.80%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.98%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 23:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.24%E -1.80%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.98%E -4.44%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 23:14
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:20
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 23:15
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -7.91%E -3.50%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -1.64%E -0.990%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 22:40
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -9.54%E -4.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -2.24%E -1.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -9.94%E -4.50%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -2.24%E -1.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -9.94%E -4.50%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -2.24%E -1.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 19:00
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 12:05
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -11.57%E -5.33%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 19:35
Bally Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -11.57%E -5.33%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 19:35
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -11.57%E -5.33%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 28.57%1.00I 100.00%NM 71.43%40.0%2026-05-14 17:05