Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers v Florida Gators

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers (Local)

Prediction 34.85%2.87fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.372%
Kelly +0.568%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%34.92%35.05%37.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.522.662.622.9039.68%37.65%38.17%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Gators (Visit)

Prediction 65.15%1.54fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -3.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.78%65.08%64.95%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.441.5171.43%68.72%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LSU Tigers (Local): 34.85%; Florida Gators (Visit): 65.15%. For LSU Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +1.08%E +0.372%K +0.568%G +0.006%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.80%E -6.28%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.41%E -0.860%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 16:49
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.41%E -0.860%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:25
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.41%E -0.860%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.49%E -5.28%K -17.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 16:30
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.49%E -5.28%K -17.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:28
MyBookie.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.77%EV -5.20%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.23%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 17:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 17:25
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 16:29
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 17:25
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.68%E -3.31%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.68%E -3.31%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.68%E -3.31%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 16:55
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -1.63%E -1.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 17:45
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -11.12%E -4.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.24%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 17:25
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -11.12%E -4.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.24%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 17:25
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -11.12%E -4.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.24%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -11.82%E -4.67%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -11.82%E -4.67%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 15:00
BetUS🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -12.17%E -4.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.