Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Loyola Marymount Lions v UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Loyola Marymount Lions (Local)

Prediction 29.37%3.41fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.484%
Kelly -0.690%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.11%29.48%29.36%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.203.3533.33%31.61%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit)

Prediction 70.63%1.42fair odd
EV -5.35%
Edge -3.99%
Kelly -15.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.28%70.52%70.64%71.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.331.331.3476.34%75.26%75.19%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Loyola Marymount Lions (Local): 29.37%; UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit): 70.63%. For Loyola Marymount Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -1.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -1.62%E -0.484%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.47%E -5.70%K -24.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 16:59
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.47%E -5.70%K -24.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 01:39
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -5.44%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 00:44
LowVig.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -5.44%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 00:44
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 16:15
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 22:49
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 17:00
BetUS🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -8.38%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 00:44
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 18:05
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 18:05
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 18:05
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.90%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 17:00
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.90%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.47%E -5.70%K -24.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-25 01:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.