Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Loyola Marymount Lions v TCU Horned Frogs

Kickoff: 2026-02-23 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Loyola Marymount Lions (Local)

Prediction 27.49%3.64fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.681%
Kelly -0.948%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.65%27.52%27.35%29.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.393.403.5532.05%29.46%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TCU Horned Frogs (Visit)

Prediction 72.51%1.38fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -3.25%
Kelly -13.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.75%72.48%72.65%73.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.291.291.3278.13%77.40%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Loyola Marymount Lions (Local): 27.49%; TCU Horned Frogs (Visit): 72.51%. For Loyola Marymount Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -2.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.42%E -0.681%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-23 19:00
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 18:54
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 17:34
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 22:30
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 17:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 17:34
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.18%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-23 17:34
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.18%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-23 17:35
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.18%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-23 17:35
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.28%E -3.25%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 21:39
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.29%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 13:09
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 17:34
1xBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.25%EV -14.24%E -4.56%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.75%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.