Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Loyola Marymount Lions v Cal Poly Mustangs

Kickoff: 2026-03-26 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Loyola Marymount Lions (Local)

Prediction 19.73%5.07fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.273%
Kelly -0.341%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.83%19.78%19.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.354.704.725.0022.99%21.28%21.16%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit)

Prediction 80.27%1.25fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -18.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.95%80.22%80.27%81.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.171.161.2086.96%85.71%86.21%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Loyola Marymount Lions (Local): 19.73%; Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit): 80.27%. For Loyola Marymount Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.00, with an expected value of -1.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.36%E -0.273%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.88%E -5.93%K -43.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 00:15
DraftKings🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.34%E -0.681%K -0.855%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.08%E -5.20%K -35.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 16:15
Bovada🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -4.32%E -0.891%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.88%E -5.93%K -43.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 16:14
theScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.69%E -6.68%K -51.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 00:15
Caesars🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.29%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.67%E -3.06%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-25 13:59
1xBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.29%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.88%E -5.93%K -43.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-26 00:25
MyBookie.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.28%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.08%E -5.20%K -35.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-25 16:35
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -9.25%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.88%E -5.93%K -43.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-25 16:29
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -9.25%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.88%E -5.93%K -43.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-25 16:30
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -9.25%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.88%E -5.93%K -43.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-25 16:30
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -11.23%E -2.49%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.48%E -3.76%K -23.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 15:50
Fliff🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -14.19%E -3.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -6.88%E -5.93%K -43.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-25 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig5.24I 19.08%NM 18.13%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.88%5.3%2026-03-26 00:15