The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Louisville Cardinals v Stanford Cardinal

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 71.04%1.41fair odd
EV -0.546%
Edge -0.390%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%70.78%71.04%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.331.321.4077.52%75.19%75.76%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stanford Cardinal (Visit)

Prediction 28.96%3.45fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.450%
Kelly -0.638%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%29.22%28.96%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.183.233.4035.71%31.41%30.96%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisville Cardinals (Local): 71.04%; Stanford Cardinal (Visit): 28.96%. For Louisville Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.40, with an expected value of -0.546%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -0.546%E -0.390%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -16.30%E -5.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -0.546%E -0.390%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -16.30%E -5.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 15:54
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -0.546%E -0.390%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -18.91%E -6.75%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 16:39
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 08:08
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 02:35
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 04:05
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 04:18
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.86%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.14%EV -7.03%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 16:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 15:43
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.94%E -5.30%K -22.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.43%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -6.94%E -5.30%K -22.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:04
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.65%E -5.88%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.53%E -0.450%K -0.638%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:19
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.65%E -5.88%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:14
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.43%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 15:19
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.43%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 15:20
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.43%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%5.1%2026-04-11 17:49