Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Cardinals v Stanford Cardinal

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 71.89%1.39fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -6.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.11%71.78%71.89%73.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.311.301.3678.74%76.48%76.92%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stanford Cardinal (Visit)

Prediction 28.11%3.56fair odd
EV +1.21%
Edge +0.337%
Kelly +0.466%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.08%28.22%28.11%29.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.313.253.6032.05%30.18%30.77%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisville Cardinals (Local): 71.89%; Stanford Cardinal (Visit): 28.11%. For Stanford Cardinal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -8.71%E -6.85%K -32.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +1.21%E +0.337%K +0.466%G +0.006%6.5%2026-04-10 20:54
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 20:45
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.83%E -4.45%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 15:29
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 21:55
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 20:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 21:19
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.24%E -1.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 10:04
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 16:10
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 16:10
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 16:10
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 20:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -4.39%E -3.30%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -9.47%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 16:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -4.39%E -3.30%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -9.47%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 16:05
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.86%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.14%EV -9.75%E -3.04%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 15:45
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -4.39%E -3.30%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -12.28%E -3.94%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 16:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%5.7%2026-04-10 20:50