The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Louisville Cardinals v Stanford Cardinal

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 66.80%1.50fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -6.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.38%67.19%66.82%70.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.401.4575.19%71.72%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stanford Cardinal (Visit)

Prediction 33.20%3.01fair odd
EV +4.57%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +2.13%
Growth +0.097%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.69%32.81%33.18%34.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.833.1537.04%34.77%35.27%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisville Cardinals (Local): 66.80%; Stanford Cardinal (Visit): 33.20%. For Stanford Cardinal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -11.15%E -8.38%K -33.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +4.57%E +1.45%K +2.13%G +0.097%6.9%2026-04-12 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -11.15%E -8.38%K -33.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +4.57%E +1.45%K +2.13%G +0.097%6.9%2026-04-12 16:40
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -11.15%E -8.38%K -33.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +4.57%E +1.45%K +2.13%G +0.097%6.9%2026-04-12 16:40
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.81%E -5.66%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.411%E -0.137%K -0.205%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.73%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 16:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.53%EV -7.81%E -5.66%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -4.73%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 16:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.81%E -5.66%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.39%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 16:40
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -5.39%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 16:40
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -6.39%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 16:45
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.13%E -2.16%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 14:30
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.47%E -3.13%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 02:15
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.47%E -3.13%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 01:50
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -4.47%E -3.13%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.29%EV -9.04%E -3.30%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 12:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -4.47%E -3.13%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.29%EV -9.04%E -3.30%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 12:14
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.47%E -3.13%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.37%E -3.84%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 12:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%4.9%2026-04-12 16:45