Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Cardinals v Pittsburgh Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 60.70%1.65fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.03%60.43%60.76%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.551.561.6268.03%64.46%64.31%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 39.30%2.54fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.57%39.24%41.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.372.402.4544.64%42.25%41.67%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisville Cardinals (Local): 60.70%; Pittsburgh Panthers (Visit): 39.30%. For Louisville Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.62, with an expected value of -1.67%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -1.67%E -1.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -11.96%E -5.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 16:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -2.28%E -1.42%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -10.39%E -4.55%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -2.28%E -1.42%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -10.39%E -4.55%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 17:20
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -2.28%E -1.42%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -11.56%E -5.14%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 16:38
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.49%E -2.20%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 18:29
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.49%E -2.20%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 16:54
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.32%E -3.41%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 20:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -5.32%E -3.41%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -8.03%E -3.43%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 20:39
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -5.92%E -3.82%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -7.24%E -3.07%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 20:35
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -6.53%E -4.24%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.88%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 20:35
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.53%E -4.24%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.14%E -4.66%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 20:33
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.96%E -5.97%K -17.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 20:35
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -10.78%E -7.33%K -22.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 20:30
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -10.78%E -7.33%K -22.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -10.78%E -7.33%K -22.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.