The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Louisville Cardinals v Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 52.08%1.92fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.96%51.74%53.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.801.801.8757.47%55.63%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)

Prediction 47.92%2.09fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%48.04%48.26%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.941.932.0253.48%51.50%51.81%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisville Cardinals (Local): 52.08%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 47.92%. For Louisville Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -2.61%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.61%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.39%E -5.56%K -11.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 19:24
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.61%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.39%E -5.56%K -11.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 19:22
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 19:35
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 19:35
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 21:29
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 19:49
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 19:50
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 19:50
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 19:35
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.82%E -4.42%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.20%E -1.58%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 19:35
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.82%E -4.42%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 20:49
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.82%E -4.42%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.82%E -4.42%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 21:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.82%E -4.42%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 21:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 19:39
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -9.38%E -5.39%K -12.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%EV -10.39%E -5.56%K -11.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-13 21:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-03-13 21:55