Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Cardinals v Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

88%

12%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 88.25%1.13fair odd

EV -1.16%

Edge -1.03%

Kelly -9.65%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

83.70%87.64%88.25%88.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.061.071.061.1294.34%93.13%93.90%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Visit)

Prediction 11.75%8.51fair odd

EV -6.01%

Edge -0.752%

Kelly -0.859%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

11.70%12.36%11.75%16.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.657.248.008.0017.70%13.82%12.50%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisville Cardinals (Local): 88.25%; Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Visit): 11.75%. For Louisville Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.12, with an expected value of -1.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -1.16%E -1.03%K -9.65%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -32.45%E -5.64%K -6.83%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-02-25 17:13
Betway🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.69%E -4.34%K -58.60%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -23.64%E -3.64%K -4.30%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-02-25 16:54
1xBet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 83.95%EV -4.69%E -4.34%K -58.60%G +0.000%	5.65I 17.70%NM 16.05%EV -33.62%E -5.95%K -7.23%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-02-25 16:59
FanDuel🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.57%E -5.21%K -79.58%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.01%E -0.752%K -0.859%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-25 16:55
888sport🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.45%E -6.09%K -107.56%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.01%E -0.752%K -0.859%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-02-25 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.45%E -6.09%K -107.56%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.01%E -0.752%K -0.859%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-02-25 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.45%E -6.09%K -107.56%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.01%E -0.752%K -0.859%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-02-25 19:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.45%E -6.09%K -107.56%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.01%E -0.752%K -0.859%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-02-25 16:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.