The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Louisville Cardinals v Central Michigan Chippewas

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 81.10%1.23fair odd
EV -5.11%
Edge -4.37%
Kelly -30.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.72%80.90%81.10%82.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.161.171.1786.96%85.89%85.47%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit)

Prediction 18.90%5.29fair odd
EV -0.791%
Edge -0.151%
Kelly -0.186%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.97%19.10%18.90%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.294.865.005.2523.31%20.56%20.00%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisville Cardinals (Local): 81.10%; Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit): 18.90%. For Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.25, with an expected value of -0.791%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.11%E -4.37%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 17:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.11%E -4.37%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 17:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.11%E -4.37%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 17:35
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.11%E -4.37%K -30.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.96%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.92%E -5.10%K -37.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 17:34
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.72%EV -5.92%E -5.10%K -37.00%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.28%EV -18.93%E -4.41%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.73%E -5.85%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.791%E -0.151%K -0.186%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.