Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs v Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 38.27%2.61fair odd
EV -4.34%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.40%38.39%39.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.442.462.5042.92%40.97%40.65%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 61.73%1.62fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -6.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.41%61.60%61.61%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.521.521.5666.67%65.84%66.01%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local): 38.27%; Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit): 61.73%. For Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.56, with an expected value of -3.69%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.16%E -4.05%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 23:49
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.78%E -4.49%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 20:04
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.40%E -4.93%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 21:19
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.40%E -4.93%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 20:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.40%E -4.93%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 20:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.40%E -4.93%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 20:34
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.40%E -4.93%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.87%E -2.39%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.87%E -2.39%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 18:00
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.25%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 20:19
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.16%E -3.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 17:24
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.16%E -3.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.40%E -4.93%K -14.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 14:24
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.08%E -4.29%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.93%E -3.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 23:45
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.08%E -4.29%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.93%E -3.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 23:44
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.08%E -4.29%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.93%E -3.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 23:44
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -10.84%E -4.65%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -7.40%E -4.93%K -14.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.