Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.55
assuming max odds 1.56
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local): 38.29%; Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit): 61.71%. For Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -2.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -2.36%E -0.926%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.67%E -5.86%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 17:16 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 18:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-01 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-01 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-01 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.19%E -2.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 17:12 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.19%E -2.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.11%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.73%E -2.39%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 09:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.11%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 17:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -10.79%E -4.63%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-01 18:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.