Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs v Ohio State Buckeyes

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

66%

34%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 66.16%1.51fair odd

EV -5.39%

Edge -3.77%

Kelly -12.53%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

64.75%66.16%66.35%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.411.421.421.4370.92%70.42%70.42%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit)

Prediction 33.84%2.96fair odd

EV -5.26%

Edge -1.88%

Kelly -2.92%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.65%33.84%33.65%35.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.592.742.752.8038.61%36.52%36.36%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local): 66.16%; Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit): 33.84%. For Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -5.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Betway🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-21 16:39
DraftKings🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-02-21 00:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-02-21 17:20
Bovada🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-02-21 18:34
1xBet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 64.75%EV -6.71%E -4.76%K -16.36%G +0.000%	2.59I 38.61%NM 35.25%EV -12.36%E -4.77%K -7.78%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-02-21 14:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.