The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Louisiana Tech Bulldogs v Arkansas St Red Wolves

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 55.71%1.80fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -4.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.81%55.70%58.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.671.7461.73%59.70%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas St Red Wolves (Visit)

Prediction 44.29%2.26fair odd
EV -0.781%
Edge -0.348%
Kelly -0.630%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.97%44.19%44.30%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.102.082.2449.02%47.62%48.19%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local): 55.71%; Arkansas St Red Wolves (Visit): 44.29%. For Arkansas St Red Wolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.24, with an expected value of -0.781%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 23:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 23:14
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.43%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -9.64%E -4.73%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 21:45
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.86%E -3.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 21:45
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.97%E -4.17%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 21:45
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.97%E -4.17%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 21:45
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -8.64%E -5.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -9.64%E -4.73%K -9.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 16:50
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -8.64%E -5.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -9.64%E -4.73%K -9.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -8.64%E -5.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -9.64%E -4.73%K -9.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -9.76%E -6.02%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -0.781%E -0.348%K -0.630%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:01
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.76%E -6.02%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.55%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 17:37
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.