The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs v Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 67.52%1.48fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -9.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.11%67.69%67.47%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.391.401.4273.53%71.74%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 32.48%3.08fair odd
EV +0.684%
Edge +0.221%
Kelly +0.326%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%32.31%32.53%33.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.882.893.1036.36%34.75%34.60%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local): 67.52%; Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Visit): 32.48%. For Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.684%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.17%E -6.01%K -22.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.684%E +0.221%K +0.326%G +0.002%5.8%2026-04-14 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.56%E -0.855%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 19:10
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.12%E -2.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.19%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 16:05
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.47%E -3.91%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.81%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 15:35
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.47%E -3.91%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.81%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 15:49
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.81%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.81%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 19:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.47%E -3.91%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -6.14%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.47%E -3.91%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -6.14%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 16:05
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.17%E -6.01%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.44%E -2.61%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 18:20
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.47%E -3.91%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.10%EV -8.09%E -2.86%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 15:50
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.47%E -3.91%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.06%E -3.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.68%E -3.88%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 21:44
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.68%E -3.88%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 21:45
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.68%E -3.88%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 21:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%5.1%2026-04-14 22:30