Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns v South Alabama Jaguars

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

67%

33%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Local)

Prediction 66.90%1.49fair odd

EV -5.01%

Edge -3.53%

Kelly -11.92%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

66.27%66.87%66.90%69.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.401.401.4273.53%71.57%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Alabama Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 33.10%3.02fair odd

EV +0.966%

Edge +0.317%

Kelly +0.471%

Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.84%33.13%33.10%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.752.862.823.0536.36%34.95%35.46%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Local): 66.90%; South Alabama Jaguars (Visit): 33.10%. For South Alabama Jaguars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.966%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -9.02%E -6.63%K -25.06%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV +0.966%E +0.317%K +0.471%G +0.005%	6.3%	2026-03-13 15:04
BetMGM🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.00%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-13 17:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.00%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-13 16:29
1xBet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -6.65%E -2.36%K -3.65%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-13 18:20
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%	2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -6.98%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-13 17:30
DraftKings🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.31%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-13 14:59
Betway🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-13 16:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.