Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns v South Alabama Jaguars

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

60%

40%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Local)

Prediction 59.99%1.67fair odd

EV -3.42%

Edge -2.12%

Kelly -5.60%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.96%59.99%59.59%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.531.571.561.6165.36%63.69%63.90%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Alabama Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 40.01%2.50fair odd

EV -1.97%

Edge -0.805%

Kelly -1.36%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.44%40.01%40.41%42.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.222.332.302.4545.05%42.92%43.38%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Local): 59.99%; South Alabama Jaguars (Visit): 40.01%. For South Alabama Jaguars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -1.97%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.97%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-14 23:55
1xBet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -11.18%E -5.03%K -9.16%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-15 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -7.57%E -3.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-15 16:25
Betway🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.97%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-15 16:25
Bovada🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.11%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.97%E -1.66%K -2.84%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-03-15 16:24
DraftKings🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.97%E -0.805%K -1.36%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-15 16:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.