Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns v Mississippi St Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-06-01 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Local)

Prediction 19.01%5.26fair odd
EV +8.71%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +1.85%
Growth +0.161%

assuming max odds 5.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.74%19.02%19.28%20.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.964.905.7222.22%20.14%20.41%17.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 80.99%1.23fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -3.75%
Kelly -24.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.23%80.98%80.72%83.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.161.161.1887.72%86.26%86.21%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Local): 19.01%; Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit): 80.99%. For Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯5.72I 17.48%NM 16.74%EV +8.71%E +1.52%K +1.85%G +0.161%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.26%EV -6.86%E -5.96%K -45.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 23:30
Caesars🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.17%E -0.225%K -0.279%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 23:17
LowVig.ag🎯5.16I 19.38%NM 18.23%EV -1.93%E -0.374%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.77%EV -6.86%E -5.96%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯5.16I 19.38%NM 18.23%EV -1.93%E -0.374%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.77%EV -6.86%E -5.96%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 23:20
MyBookie.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.97%E -0.995%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:28
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.97%E -0.995%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.67%E -6.72%K -54.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 23:20
DraftKings🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.87%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 23:20
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.77%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 23:20
betPARX🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.77%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 23:20
Bally Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.77%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 23:20
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.72%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 23:40
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -9.72%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -7.67%E -6.72%K -54.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-31 23:19
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.48%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.