Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns v Kansas St Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

41%

59%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Local)

Prediction 40.60%2.46fair odd

EV +4.34%

Edge +1.69%

Kelly +2.76%

Growth +0.120%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.70%39.92%40.41%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.252.362.302.5744.44%42.45%43.48%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas St Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 59.40%1.68fair odd

EV -4.96%

Edge -3.10%

Kelly -8.26%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.90%60.08%59.59%63.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.491.551.571.6067.11%64.48%63.69%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Local): 40.60%; Kansas St Wildcats (Visit): 59.40%. For Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
LowVig.ag🎯	2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV +4.34%E +1.69%K +2.76%G +0.120%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -11.49%E -7.71%K -23.45%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-25 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV +4.34%E +1.69%K +2.76%G +0.120%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -11.49%E -7.71%K -23.45%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-25 23:49
BetUS🎯	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV +2.31%E +0.916%K +1.52%G +0.035%	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -11.49%E -7.71%K -23.45%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-02-25 23:50
theScore Bet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.55%E -3.49%K -9.41%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-25 18:39
DraftKings🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-25 16:10
Bovada🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.55%E -3.49%K -9.41%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-02-25 20:24
Betway🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.33%E -4.70%K -13.10%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-25 18:40
888sport🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-02-25 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-02-25 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-02-25 23:54
1xBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.65%E -3.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.52%E -5.53%K -15.78%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-02-25 20:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.