Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns v Kansas St Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Local)

Prediction 39.26%2.55fair odd
EV -0.670%
Edge -0.265%
Kelly -0.438%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.22%39.10%39.26%40.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.412.392.5344.05%41.57%41.84%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas St Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 60.74%1.65fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -5.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.64%60.90%60.74%62.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.531.531.5966.67%65.29%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Local): 39.26%; Kansas St Wildcats (Visit): 60.74%. For Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.53, with an expected value of -0.670%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -0.670%E -0.265%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -8.89%E -5.93%K -17.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -0.670%E -0.265%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -8.89%E -5.93%K -17.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 23:55
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.85%E -0.739%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.89%E -5.93%K -17.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 16:05
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.25%E -3.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 04:49
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.46%E -4.20%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 07:23
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.46%E -4.20%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 08:19
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 08:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 08:02
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 08:02
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.74%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.42%E -2.15%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-24 22:49
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.74%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-24 14:09
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.26%EV -10.88%E -4.79%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-24 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.