Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Longwood Lancers v Winthrop Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Longwood Lancers (Local)

Prediction 32.51%3.08fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.822%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.51%33.60%32.56%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.772.853.0043.48%36.04%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Winthrop Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 67.49%1.48fair odd
EV +5.96%
Edge +3.79%
Kelly +10.45%
Growth +0.623%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%66.40%67.44%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.401.5773.53%70.33%71.43%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Longwood Lancers (Local): 32.51%; Winthrop Eagles (Visit): 67.49%. For Winthrop Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.48. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -23.60%E -10.04%K -17.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV +5.96%E +3.79%K +10.45%G +0.623%6.2%2026-05-23 12:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -25.22%E -10.97%K -19.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV +4.61%E +2.97%K +8.38%G +0.386%8.0%2026-05-23 13:26
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -8.32%E -2.95%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -2.82%E -1.96%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 14:50
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 14:20
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.72%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 14:20
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.34%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 14:19
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.47%E -0.822%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.87%E -4.97%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 14:20
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.34%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.87%E -4.97%K -18.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 14:20
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.34%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.87%E -4.97%K -18.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 14:18
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.34%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.87%E -4.97%K -18.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 14:20
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.34%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.22%E -6.04%K -22.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.10I 47.62%NM 32.26%1.00I 100.00%NM 67.74%47.6%2026-05-23 15:10