Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Long Beach State Dirtbags v Washington St Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local)

Prediction 57.27%1.75fair odd
EV +3.08%
Edge +1.71%
Kelly +3.85%
Growth +0.118%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%57.41%57.74%60.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.641.621.8064.94%61.12%61.73%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington St Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 42.73%2.34fair odd
EV +0.425%
Edge +0.181%
Kelly +0.315%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.59%42.59%42.26%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.182.102.3551.28%45.84%47.62%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local): 57.27%; Washington St Cougars (Visit): 42.73%. For Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +3.08%E +1.71%K +3.85%G +0.118%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -16.67%E -8.55%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 07:21
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.08%E -1.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 03:00
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.22%E -1.91%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 03:14
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 17:59
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 19:59
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.67%EV -10.69%E -5.11%K -9.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 20:00
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.98%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 19:59
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -8.95%E -5.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -0.857%E -0.369%K -0.649%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 19:59
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -11.81%E -7.67%K -21.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%7.5%2026-03-01 19:59
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -11.81%E -7.67%K -21.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%7.5%2026-03-01 19:55
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -11.81%E -7.67%K -21.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%7.5%2026-03-01 19:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.