Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.60
assuming max odds 1.51
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local): 36.68%; UC San Diego Tritons (Visit): 63.32%. For UC San Diego Tritons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.51, with an expected value of -4.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 20:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 04:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 04:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 09:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -6.83%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 19:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -9.76%E -3.97%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.96%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -12.70%E -5.33%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -12.70%E -5.33%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -12.70%E -5.33%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.66% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.34% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |