Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Long Beach State Dirtbags v Oregon St Beavers

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local)

Prediction 15.89%6.29fair odd
EV +1.69%
Edge +0.264%
Kelly +0.313%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 6.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.78%15.86%15.73%17.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.445.845.806.4018.38%17.13%17.24%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon St Beavers (Visit)

Prediction 84.11%1.19fair odd
EV -4.95%
Edge -4.38%
Kelly -38.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.80%84.14%84.27%85.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.111.111.1390.91%89.74%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local): 15.89%; Oregon St Beavers (Visit): 84.11%. For Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +1.69%E +0.264%K +0.313%G +0.005%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.64%E -5.98%K -60.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 15:54
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.67%E -0.778%K -0.934%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.80%E -5.17%K -48.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 15:44
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.67%E -0.778%K -0.934%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.64%E -5.98%K -60.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.67%E -0.778%K -0.934%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.64%E -5.98%K -60.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.67%E -0.778%K -0.934%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.64%E -5.98%K -60.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 15:59
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -4.67%E -0.778%K -0.934%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.48%E -6.80%K -74.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 15:50
BetRivers🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -7.85%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.64%E -5.98%K -60.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 15:54
Bally Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -7.85%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.64%E -5.98%K -60.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 15:54
betPARX🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -7.85%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.64%E -5.98%K -60.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 15:54
DraftKings🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -9.43%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 14:54
MyBookie.ag🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -9.43%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.80%E -5.17%K -48.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 19:13
Bovada🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.02%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.80%E -5.17%K -48.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 14:57
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -12.61%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.64%E -5.98%K -60.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 19:59
1xBet🎯5.44I 18.38%NM 17.20%EV -13.57%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 22:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig6.49I 15.41%NM 14.61%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.39%5.5%2026-05-10 00:04