Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Long Beach State Dirtbags v Oregon St Beavers

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local)

Prediction 16.15%6.19fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -0.377%
Kelly -0.452%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.50%16.20%16.18%16.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.505.785.756.0518.18%17.30%17.39%16.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon St Beavers (Visit)

Prediction 83.85%1.19fair odd
EV -5.25%
Edge -4.65%
Kelly -40.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.08%83.80%83.82%84.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.121.121.1390.09%89.55%89.29%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local): 16.15%; Oregon St Beavers (Visit): 83.85%. For Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.05, with an expected value of -2.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.50%EV -2.28%E -0.377%K -0.452%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.93%E -6.24%K -62.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 22:04
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.09%E -0.515%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.44%K -50.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:59
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.09%E -0.515%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.93%E -6.24%K -62.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.09%E -0.515%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.93%E -6.24%K -62.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.09%E -0.515%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.93%E -6.24%K -62.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 17:10
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.13%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.09%E -5.44%K -50.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 16:29
theScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -7.13%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.93%E -6.24%K -62.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 20:29
DraftKings🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -7.93%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.25%E -4.65%K -40.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 23:45
MyBookie.ag🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -9.55%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.09%E -5.44%K -50.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 19:14
BetRivers🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.09%E -5.44%K -50.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 16:59
betPARX🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.09%E -5.44%K -50.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 16:59
Bally Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.09%E -5.44%K -50.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig5.92I 16.89%NM 15.67%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.33%7.8%2026-05-09 00:54