Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Long Beach State Dirtbags v Oregon St Beavers

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local)

Prediction 18.58%5.38fair odd
EV +2.19%
Edge +0.399%
Kelly +0.488%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%18.49%18.83%19.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.055.005.5021.05%19.81%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon St Beavers (Visit)

Prediction 81.42%1.23fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -4.05%
Kelly -27.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.65%81.51%81.17%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.151.151.1788.50%86.91%86.96%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local): 18.58%; Oregon St Beavers (Visit): 81.42%. For Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.19%E +0.399%K +0.488%G +0.011%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.18%E -6.30%K -51.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.37%E -5.54%K -42.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 13:09
theScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -2.45%E -0.467%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -8.00%E -7.08%K -61.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 11:19
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.74%E -4.05%K -27.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.74%E -4.05%K -27.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.74%E -4.05%K -27.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 16:55
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.55%E -4.79%K -34.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 05:10
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.55%E -4.79%K -34.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 05:49
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.37%E -5.54%K -42.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 10:28
MyBookie.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.37%E -5.54%K -42.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 16:54
BetRivers🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.18%E -6.30%K -51.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 16:44
Bally Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.18%E -6.30%K -51.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 16:44
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.10%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.18%E -6.30%K -51.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 16:44
1xBet🎯4.96I 20.16%NM 18.82%EV -7.84%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.18%EV -6.37%E -5.54%K -42.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 16:54
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -11.74%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -7.18%E -6.30%K -51.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 13:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig5.52I 18.12%NM 17.24%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.76%5.1%2026-05-10 18:39