Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Long Beach State Dirtbags v Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local)

Prediction 37.64%2.66fair odd
EV +4.63%
Edge +1.67%
Kelly +2.60%
Growth +0.120%

assuming max odds 2.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.97%37.25%37.50%40.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.312.522.502.7843.29%39.76%40.00%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 62.36%1.60fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -3.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.54%62.75%62.50%66.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.501.5769.93%67.08%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local): 37.64%; Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit): 62.36%. For Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV +4.63%E +1.67%K +2.60%G +0.120%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -10.82%E -7.57%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV +4.63%E +1.67%K +2.60%G +0.120%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -10.82%E -7.57%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 23:04
BetUS🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV +2.37%E +0.872%K +1.38%G +0.033%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -10.82%E -7.57%K -25.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -8.33%E -5.66%K -17.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 00:55
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.46%E -4.30%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 23:10
FanDuel🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.46%E -4.30%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 23:45
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.91%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -3.00%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 23:45
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.91%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.46%E -4.30%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 23:08
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.91%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.46%E -4.30%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 23:45
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:19
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:20
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:20
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.46%E -4.30%K -12.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 23:10
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.33%E -5.66%K -17.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 23:45
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -13.06%E -5.65%K -9.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -2.09%E -1.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%5.4%2026-03-15 00:38