The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Long Beach State Dirtbags v Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local)

Prediction 39.03%2.56fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.971%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%39.11%39.09%40.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.392.402.5043.48%41.92%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 60.97%1.64fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -7.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.54%60.89%60.91%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.541.5766.67%64.77%64.94%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local): 39.03%; Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit): 60.97%. For Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -2.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.43%E -0.971%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.89%E -3.13%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 18:50
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.71%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 18:50
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.71%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.11%E -3.96%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.11%E -3.96%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 18:50
BetUS🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.11%E -3.96%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 18:49
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.89%E -3.13%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 04:10
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.33%E -2.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.11%E -3.96%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 15:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -7.50%E -3.16%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -6.11%E -3.96%K -11.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 04:00
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.28%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.71%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 12:15
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -4.89%E -3.13%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 19:10
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -4.89%E -3.13%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 19:10
Bally Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -4.89%E -3.13%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 19:10
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -9.84%E -4.26%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -4.28%E -2.72%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:00
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.54%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.41I 41.49%NM 38.21%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.79%8.6%2026-03-15 19:25