Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Long Beach State Dirtbags v CSU Fullerton Titans

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local)

Prediction 35.86%2.79fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%35.82%35.68%36.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.542.602.602.7039.37%38.46%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSU Fullerton Titans (Visit)

Prediction 64.14%1.56fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -7.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.18%64.18%64.32%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.461.451.5069.44%68.54%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local): 35.86%; CSU Fullerton Titans (Visit): 64.14%. For Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -3.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.18%E -1.18%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 04:25
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.98%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.71%E -3.88%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 03:00
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.98%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 04:18
MyBookie.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 19:15
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.79%E -2.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 03:39
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.64%E -5.30%K -17.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 22:39
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.56%E -3.36%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 15:45
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.56%E -3.36%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 15:49
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.56%E -3.36%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 15:50
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.92%E -3.51%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.07%E -3.43%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 03:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.85%8.6%2026-04-12 00:55