Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Long Beach State Dirtbags v CSU Fullerton Titans

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local)

Prediction 36.37%2.75fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.77%36.41%36.27%37.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.572.562.6440.00%38.96%39.06%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSU Fullerton Titans (Visit)

Prediction 63.63%1.57fair odd
EV -5.19%
Edge -3.49%
Kelly -10.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.75%63.59%63.73%64.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.481.471.4968.03%67.80%68.03%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local): 36.37%; CSU Fullerton Titans (Visit): 63.63%. For Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.64, with an expected value of -3.98%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -6.47%E -4.40%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 14:14
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 05:04
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 05:45
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.47%E -4.40%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 13:33
MyBookie.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -6.52%E -2.54%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.47%E -4.40%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:13
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.25%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.47%E -4.40%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 16:40
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.25%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.47%E -4.40%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 16:40
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.25%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.47%E -4.40%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 16:40
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -8.71%E -3.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -5.19%E -3.49%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 14:44
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 23:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%4.0%2026-04-11 00:55