The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Long Beach State Dirtbags v Cal Baptist Lancers

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local)

Prediction 30.65%3.26fair odd
EV +4.22%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.76%
Growth +0.074%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%30.40%30.72%31.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.933.043.003.4034.13%32.86%33.33%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cal Baptist Lancers (Visit)

Prediction 69.35%1.44fair odd
EV -5.00%
Edge -3.65%
Kelly -13.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.14%69.60%69.28%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.351.351.3775.19%73.98%74.07%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local): 30.65%; Cal Baptist Lancers (Visit): 69.35%. For Long Beach State Dirtbags (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.22%E +1.24%K +1.76%G +0.074%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 15:35
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.91%E -0.597%K -0.868%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.08%E -5.28%K -20.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 16:15
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:10
MyBookie.ag🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.75%EV -6.81%E -2.24%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.25%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 19:09
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 23:35
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 00:00
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.69%E -4.18%K -15.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 17:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.77%E -5.84%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 16:09
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 14:15
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 14:14
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.38%E -4.73%K -18.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 14:14
1xBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -10.19%E -3.48%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%5.0%2026-04-07 00:50