Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lipscomb Bisons v Toledo Rockets

Kickoff: 2026-03-02 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

56%

44%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lipscomb Bisons (Local)

Prediction 56.03%1.78fair odd

EV -2.51%

Edge -1.44%

Kelly -3.39%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.09%55.98%55.99%56.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.641.671.671.7460.98%59.77%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toledo Rockets (Visit)

Prediction 43.97%2.27fair odd

EV -4.14%

Edge -1.90%

Kelly -3.51%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.38%44.02%44.01%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.022.112.102.1849.50%47.32%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lipscomb Bisons (Local): 56.03%; Toledo Rockets (Visit): 43.97%. For Lipscomb Bisons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.74, with an expected value of -2.51%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-02 02:10
DraftKings🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-02 02:04
theScore Bet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-03-02 15:39
FanDuel🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-02 18:14
BetMGM🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-02 17:34
888sport🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-02 02:59
888sport (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-02 02:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-02 02:59
Betway🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-02 15:38
BetRivers🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.90%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-02 18:14
Bally Bet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.90%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-02 18:14
betPARX🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.90%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-02 18:15
1xBet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 55.19%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 44.81%EV -11.18%E -5.53%K -10.96%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-03-02 18:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.