Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lindenwood Lions v Tenn-Martin Skyhawks

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lindenwood Lions (Local)

Prediction 58.02%1.72fair odd
EV -6.01%
Edge -3.71%
Kelly -9.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.74%58.10%58.02%58.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.611.601.6262.50%62.28%62.50%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tenn-Martin Skyhawks (Visit)

Prediction 41.98%2.38fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.39%41.90%41.98%42.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.192.222.202.2845.66%45.10%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lindenwood Lions (Local): 58.02%; Tenn-Martin Skyhawks (Visit): 41.98%. For Tenn-Martin Skyhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -4.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.59%E -4.09%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 15:07
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.59%E -4.09%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.17%E -4.48%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 15:10
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.17%E -4.48%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 15:10
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.17%E -4.48%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 15:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.17%E -4.48%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -8.06%E -3.68%K -6.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.