Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.54
assuming max odds 1.58
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liberty Flames (Local): 38.81%; Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit): 61.19%. For Liberty Flames (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.54, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -1.42%E -0.557%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -8.22%E -5.48%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 16:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.55%E -2.92%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 16:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.22%E -5.48%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.97%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.22%E -5.48%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 16:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.74%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.00%E -4.60%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.91%E -2.00%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.38%E -4.17%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 17:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -6.46%E -2.68%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.32%E -2.10%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 21:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -6.46%E -2.68%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -6.38%E -4.17%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 17:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.85%E -2.85%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.55%E -2.92%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.85%E -2.85%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.55%E -2.92%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.24%E -3.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.55%E -2.92%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.24%E -3.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.55%E -2.92%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.38%E -4.17%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -11.51%E -5.05%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -4.55%E -2.92%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -11.51%E -5.05%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -4.55%E -2.92%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -11.51%E -5.05%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -4.55%E -2.92%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 17:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59% | 2.1% | 2026-05-12 19:50 |