The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Liberty Flames v Virginia Cavaliers

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Liberty Flames (Local)

Prediction 37.01%2.70fair odd
EV +3.64%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +2.02%
Growth +0.074%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%36.67%37.19%38.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.502.8041.67%39.42%40.00%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 62.99%1.59fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -6.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.17%63.33%62.81%65.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.30%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liberty Flames (Local): 37.01%; Virginia Cavaliers (Visit): 62.99%. For Liberty Flames (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +3.64%E +1.30%K +2.02%G +0.074%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.67%E -5.98%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV +0.308%E +0.114%K +0.180%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -9.30%E -6.46%K -21.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV +0.308%E +0.114%K +0.180%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -9.30%E -6.46%K -21.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 19:15
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -1.91%E -0.722%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -9.30%E -6.46%K -21.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 19:10
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.78%E -4.58%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 19:10
FanDuel🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -4.50%E -1.75%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -6.15%E -4.13%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 19:15
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.78%E -4.58%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 19:12
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.63%E -2.37%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 15:39
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 16:14
MyBookie.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 18:59
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 15:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 15:30
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.78%E -4.58%K -14.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 19:15
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -10.06%E -4.14%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 14:54
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -10.06%E -4.14%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 14:54
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -10.06%E -4.14%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 14:55
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -10.80%E -4.48%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -3.63%E -2.37%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 15:49
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -7.41%E -5.04%K -15.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%4.2%2026-03-18 17:50