The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Liberty Flames v Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Liberty Flames (Local)

Prediction 64.43%1.55fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -5.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.26%64.33%64.36%64.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.461.451.5169.93%68.49%68.97%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 35.57%2.81fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.22%35.67%35.64%36.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.582.632.632.7038.76%38.04%38.02%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liberty Flames (Local): 64.43%; Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit): 35.57%. For Liberty Flames (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.51, with an expected value of -2.71%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 09:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 09:00
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 11:09
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 06:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -6.09%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 11:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -6.09%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 11:20
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.70%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -8.22%E -3.19%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 12:50
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 06:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 09:40
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 10:07
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.02%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -8.22%E -3.19%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 11:10
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.22%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 09:09
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.87%E -5.50%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 11:10
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.87%E -5.50%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 11:10
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.87%E -5.50%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%6.7%2026-05-22 12:40