The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Liberty Flames v Duke Blue Devils

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Liberty Flames (Local)

Prediction 64.55%1.55fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -6.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.75%64.44%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.441.5071.43%68.78%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Duke Blue Devils (Visit)

Prediction 35.45%2.82fair odd
EV +2.82%
Edge +0.971%
Kelly +1.48%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%35.25%35.56%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.612.9040.00%37.97%38.31%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liberty Flames (Local): 64.55%; Duke Blue Devils (Visit): 35.45%. For Duke Blue Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.82%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.64%E -6.88%K -24.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +2.82%E +0.971%K +1.48%G +0.042%5.9%2026-04-21 01:25
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.41%E -4.42%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.730%E -0.261%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 17:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -6.41%E -4.42%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -6.76%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 17:38
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.05%E -4.90%K -16.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.05%E -4.90%K -16.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.05%E -4.90%K -16.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:05
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -5.76%E -3.95%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -7.47%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.18%E -2.12%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.82%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 17:39
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.05%E -4.90%K -16.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.82%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:44
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.05%E -4.90%K -16.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.82%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:45
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.05%E -4.90%K -16.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.82%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:45
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -3.18%E -2.12%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -9.95%E -3.92%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 21:30
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.18%E -2.12%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 17:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%6.7%2026-04-21 21:30