Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lamar Cardinals v Sam Houston St Bearkats

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lamar Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 61.80%1.62fair odd
EV -5.45%
Edge -3.56%
Kelly -10.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.17%61.79%61.80%62.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.521.521.5367.11%65.88%65.79%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit)

Prediction 38.20%2.62fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.81%38.21%38.20%38.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.432.422.5042.55%41.17%41.32%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lamar Cardinals (Local): 61.80%; Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit): 38.20%. For Sam Houston St Bearkats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -4.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.45%E -3.56%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.49%E -1.80%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 13:44
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.45%E -3.56%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.40%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 08:29
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.45%E -3.56%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.40%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 08:31
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -5.45%E -3.56%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -7.93%E -3.29%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 08:40
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.07%E -3.99%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.49%E -1.80%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 08:28
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.07%E -3.99%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -7.16%E -2.95%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 08:29
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.69%E -4.43%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.31%E -3.46%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 13:05
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.69%E -4.43%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.31%E -3.46%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 13:05
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.69%E -4.43%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.31%E -3.46%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 13:04
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -7.92%E -5.32%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -10.22%E -4.35%K -7.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 08:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 62.31%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%9.2%2026-03-17 08:34