Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lamar Cardinals v Oregon St Beavers

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lamar Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 25.36%3.94fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.364%
Kelly +0.486%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.52%25.11%25.43%26.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.713.704.0028.17%26.94%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon St Beavers (Visit)

Prediction 74.64%1.34fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -12.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.80%74.89%74.57%76.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.261.2981.97%79.59%79.37%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lamar Cardinals (Local): 25.36%; Oregon St Beavers (Visit): 74.64%. For Lamar Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +1.46%E +0.364%K +0.486%G +0.007%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -8.20%E -6.67%K -35.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 15:45
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.08%E -0.277%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.94%E -7.33%K -40.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 22:20
1xBet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.70%EV -4.12%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.30%EV -7.45%E -6.01%K -31.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 17:10
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.88%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.21%E -4.10%K -19.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 15:55
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.88%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.71%E -5.36%K -26.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.88%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.71%E -5.36%K -26.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.88%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.71%E -5.36%K -26.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 15:25
MyBookie.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -4.88%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.45%E -6.01%K -31.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 22:24
Caesars🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.15%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.72%E -2.88%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 15:14
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.15%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.21%E -4.10%K -19.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.60%EV -6.41%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.10%K -19.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.60%EV -6.41%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.10%K -19.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 15:54
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.42%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.96%E -4.73%K -22.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 15:46
BetUS🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.13%EV -8.94%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.87%EV -5.21%E -4.10%K -19.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 16:50
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.96%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.96%E -4.73%K -22.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 19:25
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.96%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.96%E -4.73%K -22.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 19:24
Bally Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.96%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.96%E -4.73%K -22.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 19:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.98I 25.13%NM 23.90%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.10%5.1%2026-04-03 22:55