Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lamar Cardinals v Oregon St Beavers

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lamar Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 24.10%4.15fair odd
EV +6.76%
Edge +1.53%
Kelly +1.97%
Growth +0.133%

assuming max odds 4.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.17%24.07%24.12%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.803.953.904.4326.32%25.30%25.64%22.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon St Beavers (Visit)

Prediction 75.90%1.32fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -3.46%
Kelly -16.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.25%75.93%75.88%78.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.231.221.2684.03%81.49%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lamar Cardinals (Local): 24.10%; Oregon St Beavers (Visit): 75.90%. For Lamar Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.43I 22.57%NM 21.17%EV +6.76%E +1.53%K +1.97%G +0.133%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.83%EV -9.68%E -8.13%K -50.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.60%E -0.901%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.40%E -6.07%K -33.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 10:05
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.60%E -0.901%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.40%E -6.07%K -33.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 10:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.60%E -0.901%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.40%E -6.07%K -33.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 10:09
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.60%E -0.901%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.16%E -6.74%K -38.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 20:20
Bovada🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.81%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.64%E -5.40%K -28.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 22:08
Caesars🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.36%E -3.46%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 19:08
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.88%E -4.74%K -24.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 19:45
BetRivers🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.40%E -6.07%K -33.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 19:55
betPARX🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.40%E -6.07%K -33.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 19:55
Bally Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.40%E -6.07%K -33.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 19:55
MyBookie.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -7.22%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.64%E -5.40%K -28.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 19:59
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.42%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.12%E -4.10%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 19:44
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.42%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.12%E -4.10%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig4.02I 24.88%NM 23.57%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.43%5.5%2026-04-02 22:55