Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 1.79
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kentucky Wildcats (Local): 46.39%; West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit): 53.61%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -2.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -2.59%E -1.23%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -9.39%E -5.56%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 19:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -3.05%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -8.32%E -4.87%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 20:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -3.05%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -8.32%E -4.87%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 20:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.44%E -2.16%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.71%E -3.86%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 20:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.91%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 20:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.91%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.71%E -3.86%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.91%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.71%E -3.86%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 20:03 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.37%E -2.63%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.03%E -2.25%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 20:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.23%E -3.61%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.11%E -2.88%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-31 21:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.23%E -3.61%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.11%E -2.88%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-31 20:26 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -8.62%E -4.37%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -6.71%E -3.86%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 19:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -8.62%E -4.37%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -6.71%E -3.86%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 19:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -8.62%E -4.37%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -6.71%E -3.86%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.54%E -4.89%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -6.71%E -3.86%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-31 20:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.