The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Kentucky Wildcats v West Virginia Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 21:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kentucky Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 36.10%2.77fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -0.933%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.37%36.38%36.19%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.592.602.7040.32%38.65%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 63.90%1.57fair odd
EV -0.961%
Edge -0.620%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%63.62%63.81%64.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.481.471.5569.44%67.69%68.03%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kentucky Wildcats (Local): 36.10%; West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit): 63.90%. For West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.55, with an expected value of -0.961%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.52%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 20:56
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 21:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 20:59
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 21:00
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 20:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 20:59
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 21:00
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 21:00
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 21:01
BetUS🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -6.85%E -2.66%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.70%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 20:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -7.57%E -2.96%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 21:00
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 21:00
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 20:59
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 21:00
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.24%E -1.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 20:57
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -10.46%E -4.22%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -0.961%E -0.620%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 20:57
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -10.46%E -4.22%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -1.60%E -1.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 21:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%7.4%2026-05-30 21:00