The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kentucky Wildcats v Arkansas Razorbacks

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kentucky Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 35.90%2.79fair odd
EV -0.914%
Edge -0.331%
Kelly -0.520%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%35.94%35.68%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.602.622.7640.82%38.43%38.17%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit)

Prediction 64.10%1.56fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -3.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%64.06%64.32%65.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.471.471.5370.42%67.93%68.03%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kentucky Wildcats (Local): 35.90%; Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit): 64.10%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.76, with an expected value of -0.914%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -0.914%E -0.331%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -8.34%E -5.83%K -19.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 20:15
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.27%E -0.463%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.98%E -6.32%K -21.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 23:34
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.07%E -1.14%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.06%E -4.87%K -15.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 12:45
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.86%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.85%E -2.57%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 17:53
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.86%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.77%E -3.93%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.86%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.06%E -4.87%K -15.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 20:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -5.22%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -5.77%E -3.93%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 20:24
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.94%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.70%E -5.35%K -17.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 15:46
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.94%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.70%E -5.35%K -17.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 15:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.94%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.70%E -5.35%K -17.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 15:45
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.85%E -2.57%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 15:30
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.66%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.70%E -5.35%K -17.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 18:50
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -8.09%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -2.57%E -1.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 22:15
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.45%E -3.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.77%E -3.93%K -12.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 17:45
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.45%E -3.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.77%E -3.93%K -12.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 17:45
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.45%E -3.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.77%E -3.93%K -12.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -11.68%E -4.75%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -1.93%E -1.26%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -11.68%E -4.75%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -1.93%E -1.26%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:55
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -12.04%E -4.92%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -1.93%E -1.26%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%7.4%2026-05-14 18:50