The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Kentucky Wildcats v Arkansas Razorbacks

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kentucky Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 41.75%2.40fair odd
EV +0.204%
Edge +0.085%
Kelly +0.146%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%41.57%41.86%43.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.242.242.4045.87%44.71%44.64%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit)

Prediction 58.25%1.72fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.923%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.56%58.43%58.14%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.621.621.6963.69%61.90%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kentucky Wildcats (Local): 41.75%; Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit): 58.25%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.395. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.400, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.204%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +0.204%E +0.085%K +0.146%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.39%E -4.64%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 12:55
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.35%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -7.39%E -4.64%K -12.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 17:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.81%E -2.11%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 16:09
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.06%E -2.69%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.06%E -2.69%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 16:05
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.06%E -2.69%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 13:04
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.06%E -2.69%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.55%E -5.45%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:10
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.48%E -2.89%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 12:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.48%E -2.89%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.48%E -2.89%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 17:55
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -8.15%E -3.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.56%E -0.923%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 17:15
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.15%E -3.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 12:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.15%E -3.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.15%E -3.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.15%E -3.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 14:40
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.98%E -4.12%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 16:55
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.98%E -4.12%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 16:55
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.98%E -4.12%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 35.21%1.25I 80.00%NM 64.79%23.5%2026-05-16 17:40