The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kentucky Wildcats v Alabama Crimson Tide

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kentucky Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 52.91%1.89fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.567%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.80%52.91%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.771.771.8758.48%56.50%56.50%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)

Prediction 47.09%2.12fair odd
EV -5.82%
Edge -2.91%
Kelly -5.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%47.20%47.09%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.971.962.0053.48%50.75%50.89%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kentucky Wildcats (Local): 52.91%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 47.09%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -1.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.06%E -0.567%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.94%E -6.38%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:10
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.76%E -2.65%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.76%E -2.65%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.76%E -2.65%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 11:30
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.76%E -2.65%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 12:25
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.82%E -3.27%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 12:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.82%E -3.27%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.23%E -3.67%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:55
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 12:49
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 12:50
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 08:50
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -6.29%E -3.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.88%E -3.91%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 14:40
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.88%E -3.91%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 14:40
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.88%E -3.91%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 14:40
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.94%E -4.56%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 12:50
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.47%E -4.89%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.47%E -4.89%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.47%E -4.89%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 12:55
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -9.53%E -5.57%K -13.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%5.2%2026-03-15 16:50